It's looking like West will not be back for $7.5M in 2011-12. Assume he is back and he costs between $1.5M and $2.5M more a year. So Dell D's money to sign player #15, under my assumptions, goes down from $3.5M-$5.0M to $1.0M-$3.5M. That's not much money to shop around with at the free agent store! If West isn't back, where do you get a near All-Star at the PF position and, most importantly, for how much money?
So West and Gray have opted out, as West is comfortable where he is in his rehab. I have Gray signing for $3M in the 2011-12 year of his contract. I still feel good about that. West will now get more than $7.5M assuming the Hornets resign him. But the Hornets have about $1.25M-$1.5M more to work with having sold the 45th pick for $750K and not having to pay the 45th pick $500K-$750K. That alone won't be enough cover the gap between $7.5M and what the Hornets will eventually be assumed to sign West for to play in 2011-12, but it will be close. My point is the selling of the 45th pick comes close enough to covering the additional amount West will cost the team, because this is only a rough guess about cap implications, that the basic premise of the article is still good: the Hornets have less than $5M to spend on a "new" free agent. So there will be no crazy Hornet free agent signing, beyond players on the 2010-11 Hornets roster.
If West isn't back, it means more money to offer Tyson Chandler. Chandler's a free-agent and one of the guys Chris Paul wants to play with. (He's also friends with Pargo. [We know Pargo would have been signed by New Orleans if Pargo was healthy, {but we wouldn't have had Jarrett Jack either, so} ] ) It also means more money to keep Carl Landry. Chandler is the starting PF, and should have been on the All-Star team this year. He has championship experience. If we can't get Chandler, offer some money to the 6'10 Peja and have HIM be our starting PF (a la Rashard Lewis) Peja is another guy who has been in All-Star nominations, and he's played with Chris Paul before. If we can't get either of those guys, we can always try for Sean Marks as our backup Center. (with DJ Mbenga as 3rd string [I liked his performance as a 3rd string during the Lakers Series (against Gasol) as well as HIS KNOWLEDGE ABOUT THE LAKERS]). Then we move Okafor to PF and Gray becomes our starting center. Marks can play both PF and C. For proof that that would work, see that overtime in Utah last season with a front-court of Ariza-Okafor-Gray combo. Some of the rest of our money is then spent on Marcus Thornton and Carl Landry. Thus the offense of David West is replaced by Marcus Thornton/Tyson Chandler/Marco Bellinelli (because Peja opened up Marco in the early going of last season) Marcus Thornton is going to be an All-Star. Worse case scenario. We just get Sean Marks and Jannero Pargo in exchange for Marcus Banks and David Andersen. And then re-sign everybody else for the same amount of money with Landry getting MOST OF the money that would have gone to West. We keep two friends of Paul on the team (Pargo replacing West) and we actually deepen our depth everywhere. (Though by no means would I ever trade David West for Sean Marks, this would be worse-case scenario [barring injuries to players] with our savvy GM. [I would trade Marcus Banks for Jannero Pargo in a heartbeat.] So what we want to do if West opts out and leaves is: Let go of Marcus Banks, David Andersen, Jason Smith. Sign: Tyson Chandler (most of the money is made at the BEGINNING OF THE CONTRACT) Jannero Pargo - (veteran's minimum) Sean Marks - (Veteran's minimum) Marcus Thornton (value of contract goes up as years go by) If Landry leaves as well: Sign Peja (veteran's minimum) So no West or Landry best case scenario depth chart Paul Pargo Thornton Marco/Jack/Green Ariza Pondexter/Peja Chandler Peja/Marks Okafor Gray Marks Mbenga


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