The Pelicans management is in a tough spot here. Ownership wants to make the playoffs, yet a singular focus on that one goal could have terrible ramifications for future years. Imagine a situation where the Pelicans get the 8th seed, or fall a few games short, denying all offers to trade players before the February 23rd deadline. Then, imagine a scenario in which the Pelicans get a middle of the road pick and watch guys like Tyreke Evans and Jrue Holiday leave for nothing in July.
And before you write that scenario off as possible, but unlikely, need I remind you that we just saw it happen 6 months ago with Eric Gordon and Ryan Anderson? So, it certainly isn’t hard to imagine Tyreke Evans being lured by a coaching staff that will appreciate his talents more, and Jrue choosing either a big city, a chance to play with his brother, or a winning organization over New Orleans.
When faced with this possibility, most fans and observers choose to concoct fake trades centered around dumping Jrue and Tyreke, getting draft picks, and rebuilding around Davis, Hield, and a bunch of young guys. Sorry to tell you, but that ain’t gonna happen. Unless the Pelicans are ten games out of 8th come mid-February, they are still going to put making the playoffs as the top priority on their list. So, how do you trade Holiday and still possibly improve not only long-term, but possibly short-term too? I’m glad you asked.
In Portland, one thing is becoming abundantly clear – A Lillard/McCollum backcourt is insanely entertaining, but it will make it nearly impossible for that franchise to win at a high level. Their strengths overlap a little too much, and their weaknesses are magnified by the fact that they have to play together. Their perimeter defense is a nightmare, and in a league that is dominated by guards, it puts Portland at a disadvantage every night if those guys don’t score at least 60.
Enter Jrue Holiday. Imagine a backcourt with he and Damian Lillard. Yes, there is quite a drop-off offensively from McCollum to Holiday, but defensively, Holiday can take the other teams best guard every night and mask some of Lillard’s issues on that end. While McCollum might be a slightly better player in a vacuum right now, a Holiday/Lillard backcourt might actually make the Blazers a better team. At least, that would be my sell if I were Dell Demps.
For the Pelicans, McCollum gives you the potential to pair a young, explosive guard with Anthony Davis for the foreseeable future. McCollum just turned 25, is averaging 23.5 points a game, and despite taking difficult shots, he isn’t far away from the exclusive 50-40-90 club. He is good around the rim (better than any of the Pels terrible guards), elite from mid-range, and extremely good from three. He is listed as a shooting guard, but is more of a combo guard, as he showed no issues starting at the point when Lillard went down with injury. He could easily play point guard in much of the same way Isaiah Thomas does in Boston – where he scores first, and sets up others off of that. And that is exactly what McCollum did when Lillard went down, as he averaged over 31 points per game in that stretch.
Truth be told, McCollum has some James Harden potential, in that he might become even better once he becomes THE guard on his team. Imagine pairing a bigger, better shooting version of Thomas with Anthony Davis, while Buddy Hield plays off those two, getting wide open three after wide open three. It might not be that wild of a dream, as reports have surfaced that Portland would at least consider moving McCollum (who they recently signed to a 4 year/$106 million extension).
So, what would it take for the Pelicans to pry the star shooting guard from the Trailblazers? First and foremost, the Blazers would have to have a strong belief that they could re-sign Holiday this offseason. Assuming that they think they could for a number similar to, or perhaps less than, the one they gave McCollum, the Blazers might be interested for the reasons stated above. Next, the Pelicans and Blazers would have to make the contracts work. Even though CJ is only making a shade under 4 million this year, his contract will count for $22 million because of the poison pill provision. Since Holiday just makes a tad over $11 million, New Orleans would have to add more salary. But if they do, it pushes Portland over the tax line, which makes the deal less appetizing for them.
This makes things a little complicated, but if teams are motivated to get a deal done, it could work. A guy like Meyers Leonard could be moved to a third team and/or Tyreke Evans can go out as well. Bottom line, they can find a way. But Portland would have to get more than just Holiday. McCollum is a younger, more desired asset around the league, and a straight up trade for Holiday just wouldn’t be realistic. At the very least, New Orleans 2017 1st round pick would need to be added to the mix, and that would assure the Blazers of at least one lottery pick in the upcoming draft. I am sure the Blazers wouldn’t be upset if the Pelicans included Diallo too. And if you are the Pelicans, there is no way you let a second round pick be a deal breaker in a trade that could help you net the most explosive 1-2 scoring punch in the entire league.
Bottom line, it is a move that the Pelicans should consider if there is even a remote chance of it happening. It makes sense for their future timeline, and their present one as well. It makes sense for Portland both short-term and long-term if they can get a commitment from Jrue, and it makes sense for all the players involved, as it puts them in a position to better showcase their skills. For two teams with high aspirations but mismatched parts, it might just be the move that gets both finally heading in the right direction.

12 responses to “The Jrue Holiday Trade That Makes Sense For Everyone”
anyway to do it without giving up a a pick this year? maybe a 2018 pick?
Pelicans get: CJ MCCollum, Meyers Leonard
Blazers get: Jrue Holiday, Cheik Diallo, Terrence Jones, Nuggets 2nd Round Pick
Nuggets: Tyreke Evans, Alexis Ajinca
pelicansfan101 the nuggets can’t just take 15-16mil in salary for a 2nd round pick…
jgman pelicansfan101 they can because they are way under the cap…and they will do it if they wanna push for playoffs this year because tyreke will help
Wouldn’t the Pels then have much the same backcourt defensive problem the Blazers currently have?
pelicansfan101 jgman They have 4 young guards in Mudiay, Harris, Barton, and Murray, Tyreke doesn’t really fit and takes touches away from those guys. They also have enough bigs without committing more long term money to a center in Ajinca who won’t play for them.
New City Lillard is all time terrible. You would have to believe Buddy will become average or slightly better eventually. Or, you could play him with Moore. It wouldn’t be great, but you could be average while your offense can be elite. Those guys in Portland don’t have anyone close to AD on either end.
pelicansfan101 I can go more in depth, but the simple answer is no. No chance. Heck, the 2017 pick unprotected likely wouldn’t be enough.
What’s your opinion on other trade targets? Most seem to be big men. I know you are pro Millsap, but what about Vucevic, Noel, Okafor, or Monroe?
It’s all circles on the hamster wheel if they don’t get a needle moving guard or wing. If you don’t have one in the NBA, you don’t win—even if you have the best big in the world
I would Rather Just give that Money to Jrue. Then give up assets too.
A Defensive Guard like Jrue…that can switch on Wings n Bigs more valueble to me.
AD wants Jrue Here.
Not so Much with EG.
Its totally different situation.
If They want Jrue…He will be here…And its not a Bad thing.
The 2 Positions Left to fill…Is a “Big” that can Run next to AD..A starting Power Forward or Center
And A SF…Solo Hill is Kinda the Type they a Looking for…Good Size n Kinda hits the 3.
But hes not Good Enough Overall.(hes paid like a role player n is 1)
He would be a good Mentor/guy to go against in practice for a Younger Dude with higher Potential…but dont have the Size yet because of Age.
Hes kinda Perfect for a Young guy to get his Confidence on…and if the Young dude Doesnt…It will build SoloHill confidence..Win/win.
If they go another Guard…Wouldnt it be to Replace Tyreke Evans…More then it would be Jrue?
Im with the Keep Jrue Here crowd.
If thats what McCollum is Making…Ill definitely give jrue something near that.
They Have 3 draft picks and a Bunch of Guys i feel can Fit those roles where the Pelicans are slotted n Lower.
Once Ajinca N Asik is off the Roster..This team will Look more Complete.
I keep reading that They are going to strecth Asik in the Off season…does the New CBA give them that option to do that? Or they could always do that