What Happens Now?

By:
Published: July 3, 2013
chess

According to numerous reports, the New Orleans Pelicans and Tyreke Evans have reached a verbal agreement. Unfortunately for those of you who like closure, this is the beginning, not the end.

The two sides have agreed verbally, but during this moratorium period, nothing can actually be signed until July 10th. Once Evans signs the offer sheet, the Kings have 72 hours to match the offer. It sounds extremely simple, but there are numerous ways this can work out and some steps the Pelicans must take before July 10th. To clear up any and all confusion, let’s look at them all right now.

Step One: Clear Cap Space

The Pelicans are 5.86 million dollars under the Cap as of right now, not including Holiday’s incentives, which are a little more than 1 million dallars per year. They must have a little over 10 million dollars in cap space on July 10th in order to extend the offer sheet that they have agreed to with Tyreke Evans. So, approximately 6 million dollars must be cleared. Easiest way to get there? Trade Lopez and receive no money back in the trade. Then release the holds for ALL 4 remaining nonguaranteed players: Terrel Harris, Brian Roberts, Darius Miller, and Lance Thomas. If the Pelicans do that, they can give Evans the 4 year, 44 million dollar deal, chewing up all their Cap Space but leaving the Room Exception to sign a small forward or a center. They would have Greivis Vasquez to trade for the other piece.

Now, the Pelicans can work out a sign and trade with the Kings for Evans (more on that later), but one way or the other, they need to to clear 6 million in order to extend the offer they verbally agreed to. Even if the Kings come out publicly and announce they will match tomorrow, the Pelicans must hold true to their word. This is a dangerous game Dell is playing. He could lose Lopez and more, getting nothing in return if the Kings decide to match the offer sheet.

Step Two: Tyreke Evans Signs the Offer Sheet on the 10th

This one is simple, but if this happens, a couple of options come off the table. For one, the Kings and Pelicans can not work out a sign and trade once Tyreke signs his name. Either the Kings match or they don’t. And if they do, they can not trade Evans to the Pelicans for one year.

The Kings and the Pelicans can work out a sign and trade between now and then, however. Then, the Kings would sign Tyreke Evans to the same deal that Evans and the Pelicans agreed to, and Evans would be traded here for whatever those two teams agree upon. Again, the Pelicans will have to have their books in order to make the trade.

Step Three: Kings Make A Decision

Really the Kings have three options:

1. Refuse to Match the Offer - The Pelicans have reportedly put some things in the deal to deter the Kings from matching. If I had to guess, they probably put a large trade kicker in there and could have even put a player option in the 4th year. If the Kings believe Ben McLemore gives them similar things on the court and he is much cheaper, you can see them going this route, though I think this is the least likely route.

2. Match the Offer - Hard to let a 23 year old former Rookie of the Year go if you are a new owner trying to win back fans. They can match and look to trade him in the future if McLemore becomes the star some people think he can be. The question is: If the Kings don’t match, what else are they going to do with that money? If the answer is nothing, why not match?

3. Sign and Trade - For my money, this is the most likely option. The Kings might not think Evans is worth the $11 million, but you can’t let him go for nothing, They could ask for Vasquez, Lopez, or even Austin Rivers. If you are Dell and the Kings tell you that they will match if you don’t give them an asset or two, what do you do? You gotta trade Lopez anyway just do extend that offer sheet, so you lose him AND you lose Tyreke if you don’t play ball. If betting were legal, this would be the way I would bet this whole thing plays out.

Kings have all the power here and Dell has put himself in a position where he is at their mercy. It is a high risk, high reward proposition. If the two teams agree to a sign and trade soon, we might know how this all plays out within the next few days. Or we might not know anything until July 13th.

And so, we wait.

10 comments
CoReMeGa
CoReMeGa

I hope they agree to a sign and trade for Lopez because I really don't want them to not pick up the option on Lopez and lose him for nothing... and then have the Kings match and lose out on Evens as well. That would be a double BOO!

My guess is that we will sign and trade Lopez for Evans and then pull off the deal that Dealer Demps has had all along... trade Gordon for Gortat! Gortat/AD/?SF/Evans/Holiday with Anderson/Vasquez/Rivers off the bench would be a nice squad. The move to set up the next move

xman20002000
xman20002000

If the Evans deal goes through... we will be fine...  We have 5 unrestricted contracts and 4 expiring...  Portland and Indiana are interested in Lopez...  Should Jason Smith start... or does he have it in him in the new offensive scheme... Lopez and Vasquez might be a package... Demps will work it out..

mrcatz22
mrcatz22

Is Tyreke really worth all this? The way I see it, Lopez will be dealt or have his contract bought out in the next couple of days. So we won't be getting a player for him due to cap issues. Then we MIGHT get another guard on a team that has no one at the Small Forward position and a hole at the Center/Power Forward position (whether Davis plays center or not). I love the idea of having a player like Evans be a Manu like player but he is not worth the money we're offering. And he is not worth losing our top two trade assets that could have filled the gaping void at the SF position. Lopez will be gone before the Kings have the ability to match and the King's owners have reportedly said that they will match if there is no sign and trade. So we lose our other trade asset (Vasquez unless we deal Rivers) in signing another guard. 

We definitely need another SF. Even if Tyreke starts (I hope he doesn't) he needs a backup. And then I think we need to invest in another big man for a cheap price. I personally don't see Davis as a true Center Right Now; once he gets more muscle, he'll be fine.  And even if he does play the 5 next year, we would need another backup for Anderson (Smith backing up Davis).

It's safe to say that we will not do so in free agency. So who do we trade? We've lost Vasquez and Lopez. Rivers??? The only player that we have who could be in discussion is Gordon, and i don't think we should give up on him that quick. Plus he appears to not be on the market. Dell still has holes in the lineup that need to be filled but if we get Evans, that'll be very difficult. What we do with Lopez over the next few days will make things more clear but I do not like the way this free agency period was handled. Al Jefferson is reportedly starting negotiations at 4 yrs/$15 mil (having Davis play PF and Anderson as 6th man). There are multiple other SF who were in the market. Maybe we could have gotten and Iguadala who is much more deserving of a $10 mil+ Contract. Or we could have done something through another surprise trade.


Overall I feel that we may have shot ourselves in the foot with the whole Evans business. Even if we lose him and still have Vasquez, that is a long way away. The market will have been drained by the time the Kings make their decision. Evans offers a lot of possibilities to the team but I think that management has backed the team into a corner.  That's my take on this situation.

mazonmafia
mazonmafia

Still think we try to unload Gordon sooner rather than later...

MikeWright0404
MikeWright0404

Sac in similar situation as NO last year with Gordon. New ownership can't let a key player leave. Dell will likely need to swing a 3 way trade to get assets back to Sac. Sac is way under cap and new ownershp has to show they're willing to spend $, unlike the Maloofs who ran Sac into ground. Like MM I cant imagine Sac letting Tyreke walk.

AngryCookies
AngryCookies

Also I want us to sign free agent Robert Sacre from the lakers we don't even have to play him but the dude is so funny with his celebrations after every basket I would love a crazy player/cheerleader on the bench going wild to hype the team and crowd.

AngryCookies
AngryCookies

I'm still worried its 50/50 to me Sac could just match at the last minute out of nowhere but I hope they don't. If we get Big Reke (That's what I'm calling him) its time to look at offers for both Vasquez and Lopez. Vasquez may go to Sac in a sign-n-trade but I would look for a late first round pick for Lopez either to Indy or ATL who owns Brooklyn's pick both should be in the 20's.

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