Ryan Anderson Stat-Pack

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Published: September 2, 2012

Michael and I are taking a week off of the podcast, so instead I bring to you the Ryan Anderson stat-pack I’ve been sitting on for months.  Consume and enjoy. Oh, and should we call Ryan Anderson “Neo”? I think that could work . . .

On multiple episodes of the podcast and a slew of different posts here on the site, I’ve emphasized just how bad midrange shots are when compared to shots at the rim and behind the three point line.  On average, a shot around the rim – without free throws taken into account – was worth 1.24 points per shot(pps) last year.  A shot from the three point line was worth 1.04 pps.  Midrange shots – and it actually doesn’t matter whether it was 5 feet or 20 feet – were worth 0.75 pps. Nothing more needs to be said there.

Of course, it’s easy to write about it, it’s another thing to be good enough of a basketball player to be able to earn these types of shots.  Defenses are designed to stop penetration – and good defenses run shooters off the three point line as well.  In fact, you’ll find most prolific shooters are forced to take anywhere from 40%-50% of their jumpers inside the three point line. It’s simply not easy to manufacture these kinds of shots.

Why do I bring this up?  Because creating these smart, efficient shots happens to be Ryan Anderson’s primary skill in the NBA. For once it’s easy for me, without using video, to show how smart a player is at basketball and how he helps his team.  With Ryan Anderson, it takes just three numbers:  3.8, 1.7, and 6.9. Those are Ryan Anderson’s per game shot attempts broken down by location.  3.8 shots at the rim, 1.7 shots from midrange, 6.9 shots from three point land.   That means that only 13.7% of Anderson’s total shots are taken from the dumb zone.  That’s a blazingly smart – and skilled – player.

Now the question becomes what sort of impact does that kind of shot creation have on a team?  Well, I’ll let the various advanced stats tell the tale.  Oh, and let me remind you – unless you are evaluating someone named Lebron, Durant, Paul or Howard, you can usually find at least one advanced stat that screams mediocrity.  Here’s Anderson:

  • Ryan Anderson’s PER was 21.25, ranking him 29th in the league. (15 is average)
  • NBA Win Shares (modified from Bill James baseball method) credits Ryan Anderson with 9.32 Wins – ranking him 23rd in the league.
  • Wages of Wins rates his efforts a .228 (.100 is an average NBA player) which was 27th best in the league  – but if we take into account the minutes he played, he earned his team an estimated 9.3 wins, which was 12th best in the league.
  • Anderson’s Adjusted +/- ranked him 27th overall, crediting him with helping Orlando outscore opponents by an average of +5.49 points per 100 possessions, regardless of whom was playing with him.
  • Anderson’s Simple Offensive Rating was +16.14, meaning that he improved his team’s offense by 16.14 points per 100 posessions when he entered the game.  That is by far the best in the league, topping two cats named Blake Griffin and Chris Paul.

In fact, the only place you can nitpick is on the defensive end of the floor, where Ryan Anderson is credited with holding opposing power forwards to below average PERs of 14.1 – and a couple other stats show that the team’s defense was largely unaffected(positively or negatively) by his presence on the court.

Personally, after watching last year’s offensive trainwreck, I’m keen for any player who helps this offense and holds his own defensively.  You?

To cap this post off, here are some stats courtesy of Hoopdata.  I always like to look at how a player performs compared to an average basketball player.  Here are Mr. Anderson’s stats.  Enjoy:

 

Player

USG

TS%

%Ast

Ast Ratio

TOR

%Blkd

And1%

FTA/FGA

PER

League Average PF

19.62

53.1

67.9

12.58

12.39

6.6

2.9

0.29

15.88

Ryan Anderson

21.23

58.9

73.5

6.07

6.41

4.9

2.1

0.23

21.25

Player

ORR

DRR

TRR

STL

BLK

CHG

DEF PLS

PF

League Average PF

8.6

19.1

13.8

0.71

0.77

0.21

1.70

2.3

Ryan Anderson

13.0

14.7

13.9

0.82

0.43

0.39

1.64

2.4

19 comments
Josh
Josh

RyNo was a great pickup. Why can't the season just start?

ADubs
ADubs

I'd be interested to see Durant's shooting zone numbers, he and Dirk take tons of shots in the stupid zone. Would you call Durant's shots dumb? Because he is the best scorer in the game right now. Great article, and I'm pumped to see a great product on the floor. While we have some need areas still, I think Gordon-Davis-Anderson (I really like "The N.O. Trio") will make for a much improved offense for the Hornets, and defenders will have nightmares deciding how to guard these guys.

carpo
carpo

Yeah I think the Anderson signing is massively under-rated, I honestly think he will pan out better than D West (sorry Grayson). Also think Austin Rivers is over-rated by most Hornets boards as he is a chucker who is going to be forced to play back-up minutes at the 1/2. That is absolutely fine as a backup 2 but with few minutes+ Roger Mason it will be tough for him.

NOEngineer
NOEngineer

Yeah, and someone needs to get the ball to the 3-point shooter once he achieves his position (unless he drives there, which is not likely). That is why I'm glad we got rid of Jack. He had very poor court vision compared to a real point guard, especially Chris Paul. Cool statement of the obvious, right? I can't tell whether Vasquez will be much better. My big hope is that Gordon and Davis and Rivers will be excellent passers out of the lane, giving those open 3-point shooters their shot. Despite my apparent negative outlook, I am very excited to finally have a front-court player on the team with excellent Wins Produced numbers and an offensive mindset. Not quite CP3 quality, but far above what we have seen from Tyson and Emeka. If Davis can contribute with high efficiency on the floor with him, then we should be a playoff contender. Unfortunately, Gordon is just average in efficiency, and I don't expect anyone else on the team to be above average. One more high-efficiency player will still be needed to get over the hump...

Mac
Mac

Every single website is saying he is going to need new skills and he wont get open looks. Once Anthony Davis sets a pick for Eric Gordon or Austin Rivers and rolls, you have two deadly guys that you need to collapse too, and then there will Anderson, waiting for the pass in the corner. Also, Monty will include a pick and pop and other plays for him. But, he will need new skills, but I think he has a few tricks up his sleeve we dont know about.

Phil
Phil

Longtime Magic fan here. This is a well-compiled piece but I have to bring up a few more things to paint what I believe is a fuller picture regarding Ryno's stats. Let's start with the shot-chart efficiency numbers. While he's a smart and efficient player for sure, there's really no way to tell how much of this vaunted shot selection was a result of Stan Van Gundy's system in Orlando. Heck, your explanation of which shots are most productive and thus desirable to take could have been straight from one of SVG's many press conferences and interviews in which he addressed that very issue. Also having Dwight Howard on the floor is naturally going to space the floor for your 4. I'm happy for your team's bright future and you got a good one in Mr. Anderson, but let's take these stats with a grain of salt for now.

StefanC
StefanC

I still can't believe how people barely seem to notice how great of a player we signed in Anderson. With Lopez, people are going crazy. It doesn't make any sense.

Jordan
Jordan

Robin Lopez is the better signing, why don't you write an article about how much more he will impact our team because clearly he's better than this... Just kidding. Awesome article. Not enough love to the vastly underrated Anderson. Can't wait to see the Anderson-Davis-Gordon triumvirate in action!

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