Game On: Grizzlies @ Hornets

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Published: January 19, 2011

Matchup: Grizzlies(19-22) @ Hornets(26-16)

Off Efficiency: Grizzlies 101.9(22nd), Hornets 102.4(20th)
Def Efficiency: Grizzlies 102.7(13th), Hornets 99.6(4th)

The Grizzlies have an okay defense, but for a team with Randolph and Gay, who both have a reputation for being scorers, their offensive output is pretty lame.  One of the primary reasons for that is the teams propensity for turnovers and inability to force turnovers by their opponent.  So far this season, the Grizzlies turn the ball over on 16.10% of their posessions, and force turnovers on 13.43% of opponents posessions.  That differential is the biggest in the league this season.

Offensively, Memphis is a load in the paint behind Randolph, Gasol, and Gay’s penetration, and that’s good because as a team they are terrible shooters.  They take the third most shots at the rim of any team in the league, and convert them at a pretty good rate.  They also take the league’s second most shots from 4-10 feet as well, though this is apparently where their range begins to falter.  They are the 9th worst team at hitting shots from that range, and from there out, they are in the bottom half of the league at shooting efficiency.  Despite their weakness shooting the ball, they still take a lot of 20-footers, but they do manage to take BY FAR the league’s lowest number of three-point shots.(12.4 per game)  This is somewhat good for them, since they are also the league’s 4th worst set of marksmen from that distance.

It’ll be interesting to see if the Hornets can keep the Grizzlies on the Perimeter.  If they can accomplish that, the Hornets have a great chance to win.

Injuries

Grizzlies: Tony Allen is day to day.
Hornets: None

Positional Analysis

PG: Mike Conley v Chris Paul
Advantage: Hornets
Conley is playing better than he ever has, which is still damning him with faint praise.  He’s a poor shooter, draws few free throws, and isn’t called on by the team to do a whole lot of playmaking since it’s primary shooters – Gay, Randolph, and Mayo – are all isolation guys who rarely work off of someone else.  Paul has been struggling mightily the past few games with a weak ankle, but I still can’t give Conley an advantage here.

SG: Sam Young v Marco Belinelli
Advantage: Hornets
The Grizzlies have been playing Sam Young at shooting guard now that Mayo is coming off the bench and Tony Allen is having trouble with his ankle.  Marco has been up and down, but at least he has a definable basketball skill or two.  Young can’t dribble, he’s a poor shooter, he rarely passes, and he turns the ball over a lot.  About the best I can say for him is he hustles, and his rebounding is slightly better than average for shooting guard.

SF: Rudy Gay v Trevor Ariza
Advantage: Grizzlies
Ariza actually has a history of shutting down Gay – enough of one that Chip from the Truehoop Blog 3 Shades of Blue has commented to me about it on multiple occasions.  Still, Ariza is so inconsistent with his own offense I have a hard time giving him the edge over Gay in his best season yet.  Oh – and that is also damning Gay with faint praise.  He’s more efficient than he’s ever been, but he’s still not even scoring at David West’s level of efficiency, much less the level of efficiency you’d want from a lead scorer paid like a superstar.  Oh, and he doesn’t pass or rebound or get many steals for the number of minutes he’s on the court.

PF: Zach Randolph v David West
Advantage: Grizzlies
This is a razor-thin advantage here, and it goes entirely to Randolph’s mastery of the boards.  West is a more efficient scorer, better passer, and . . . brace yourself . . . a better defender than his opponent in this game.  Still, I think that’s over-ridden by the fact that Randolph is a monster rebounder, and will be hard for the notoriously-weak-on-the-boards Fluffy to keep from cleaning up the glass.

C: Marc Gasol v Emeka Okafor
Advantage: Hornets
Marc Gasol is having a bit of a down year after last year, but he’s still a fine center with a nice passing touch and solid ability to finish around the basket.  Okafor, however, is having a stellar month of basketball and though he’ll give up some size to Pau’s little brother, I expect him to outplay him tonight.

Bench
OJ Mayo, Darrell Arthur, Xavier Henry, Grievis Vasquez, Hasheem Thabeet
Jarrett Jack, Marcus Thornton, Willie Green, Quincy Pondexter, Jason Smith
Advantage: Hornets
If you want to find the rare bench worse than the Hornets, then Memphis may be the place to look.  Mayo is a combo-guard who doesn’t pass, doesn’t rebound, and has been less efficient than Trevor Ariza at shooting this season.  Xavier Henry is a shooting specialist rookie who has managed to be even less efficient shooting the ball than OJ Mayo.  Then there’s Grieviz Vasquez, who is even worse than Henry.  Really.  Oh, and Hasheem Thabeet apparently forgot how to rebound. If he played starters minutes(36 minutes) he’d be averaging 6.4 rebounds per contest.  He’s 7’3″.  The only reserve on the Grizzlies I wouldn’t mind having around would be Darrell Arthur, who is providing a decent amount of scoring punch and rebounding as a backup power forward.  Not great, just decent.

With Jack becoming comfortable with this team, and Monty appearing willing to play whichever of Green or Thornton is producing, I expect the Hornets bench to do alright against Memphis.

Enjoy the game.

126 comments
JCS
JCS

Very happy with the ending. No Gay time after all.

JayRey
JayRey

LOL this game was so crazy that neither Ryan, Joe, or Michael have done a recap yet

Mark
Mark

Ariza needs to absolutely stop his high volume shooting. I'd rather 0-5 than 2-12. Come playoff time, that's going to waste quite a few possessions, which as a low possession team, is a major problem. Decent crowd volume, and great job by the Bees, this win streak is encouraging!

QueenBee
QueenBee

I. Am. Worn. Out!

42
42

You parked in Egypt, too?

QueenBee
QueenBee

I can't take these close games 42. Heart Attack Hornets are going to kill me! I really didn't want that game to go into overtime but I told myself, if overtime is what it'll take to get a win, then let's go. LOL.

42
42

Yeah . . . tell me about it! I won't mention my gestures after the horn sounded, but it was a release for sure. At least we racked up the Popeye's!

JayRey
JayRey

LOL Queen I think the Hornets should be considered for "Team mostly likely to cause a heart attack"

QueenBee
QueenBee

No doubt JayRey! No doubt! Man oh man!

thekeymaster
thekeymaster

wish the hornets would play with their defense fire the whole games instead of just in spurts when they're down double digits. either way i'll take a win.

JayRey
JayRey

OH MY GOODNESS.....I was watching this game (NBA League Pass) at the end with my friend (He never watches basketball) and we screamed when Paul stole the ball and Thornton made the basket. HAHAA this was such a good game. Good to see us come out with the win

42
42

15951 tonight. 14931 in each of the next 2 closes the 'out' in the lease. It may be a little conservative.

Chung
Chung

Attendance: 15,951 Hopefully this game created some new hornets fans!

Hornet
Hornet

FUCK YEAH!!!! MARCUS THORNTON!!!!!!!

cp3pdx
cp3pdx

My Dad: "Wow! who made that shot?" Me: "Marcus Thornton!" Dad: "Who's Marcus Thornton?" At this rate the whole world is gonna know who he is soon. Great game.

Gec
Gec

guys when we switch ON the D and the intensity buttons we kick ass!! Another comeback, another OT and buckets+cp3 made the arena go crazy! Great win tonight :D

peronas
peronas

BEES WIN!!!! BEES WIN!!!

George
George

YES! Most crazy game so far this season. Excellent defense played down the stretch. And another overtime comback led by Voldercus

George
George

Oh I forgot to mention those 2 huge threes by Chris Paul. That one in overtime was ridiculous

thekeymaster
thekeymaster

ya those 2 threes by cp3 were huuuuuuuuge. plus marcus was huge as well. hope monty realizes who our closer is now. i think the biggest stat of the night was that west didn't get out rebounded by randolph

pinoyballah
pinoyballah

crazy game!!! ariza your d is siiiiiiiick

pinoyballah
pinoyballah

wow...just wow....i still cant believe how late williams plays thornton

Gec
Gec

BUCKETS MAKE BUCKETS GO CRAaAaAAaAZYyYyYYy!!!!!!

Gec
Gec

CP3 WOW

thekeymaster
thekeymaster

what the f, have the refs completely swallowed their whistles in OT?

Gec
Gec

OH MY GOSH my stream is GONE with 10 seconds on the clock!!!!

thekeymaster
thekeymaster

where is everyone tonight? barely any comments, especially since marcus is blowing up

Hornet
Hornet

I don't comment in game except half time sometimes if I feel the need to comment on something. I stay in the living room with my big TV and family or I'm at the game.

George
George

I was thinking the same thing. Hopefully they are all at the game

OkiJeff
OkiJeff

Working. I haven't even watched the 2nd half of the Rockets game and the entire Raptors game yet : ( I am going to catch up on some Hornets this weekend though.

thekeymaster
thekeymaster

3rd OT game in a week!? i'm going to have a heart attack

George
George

Great defense on that last play! Overtime!

Thornton's Thunder
Thornton's Thunder

George, I almost made a real comment to that, but then I figured...why bother!

George
George

Oh man, I can't stand this. All of a sudden we are down by 8!

Gec
Gec

let's go hornets!!!

thekeymaster
thekeymaster

damn hornets are going to take over the jazz's title of come back kids

Chung
Chung

Monty should put Marcus in the game more simply because it gets the crowd going. One he came in, the hornets went on a big run without him taking a shot...Maybe a coincidence, maybe not

George
George

Wouldn't hurt to bring Marcus in now and see how he goes

George
George

Nice run Hornets!

peronas
peronas

Guys cant seem to get a stop to save their lives. Need to step up the defensive focus.