Game On: Hornets @ Rockets

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Published: January 14, 2011

Matchup: Hornets(23-16) @ Rockets(17-22)

Off Efficiency: Hornets 102.4(19th), Rockets 106.7(8th)
Def Efficiency: Hornets 99.7(4th), Rockets 107.0(24th)

The Rockets have a remarkable number of high efficiency players, headlined by Kevin Martin and his 1.55 points per shot and low turnover rates.  In fact, almost their entire team is fairly efficient offensively, with the only Aaron Brooks taking more shots than he should considering his production.(1.18 points per shot on a third-most 11 shots per game)  That ability to get good shots and points from almost every position on the team, including the bench, makes them a very difficult team to guard.

Their problems, however, are on the defensive side of the ball.  Their opponents rarely have to take the prime 16-23 foot shots, with Houston forcing the 4th least number of shots from that distance.  Instead, opposing teams are generally not run off the three point line, attempting a high number of threes – or, in the rare case they are forced to put the ball on the floor, penetration isn’t contained and opponents get a high number of pull up shots in the 4-10 foot range.  In other words, their perimeter defense is porous and results in good shots.

The Hornets may be able to take advantage of this if Paul is attacking and Thornton gets minutes, but it’ll be interesting to see which team’s nature asserts itself:  Will the Hornets settle for the mid-range jumpshots they love, ignoring Houston’s weaknesses, or will Houston’s open lanes and three-point shots prove enticing enough to make them modify their shot selection?

Injuries:

Hornets: Marco Belinelli is out.
Rockets: Yao Ming and Brad Miller are out.  Kevin Martin has a “good chance” he’ll play tonight according to the Houston Chronicle.  Chuck Hayes should also return for this game.

Positional Analysis

PG: Kyle Lowry v Chris Paul
Advantage: Hornets
Lowry is a bulldog, and plays better defense than any guard on the Rockets, and is moderately efficient in taking smart shots.  I fully expect to see Paul flopping all over tonight as Lowry tries to hump him.  Still, even if the whistles don’t go Paul’s way, Lowry isn’t going to outplay Paul.
SG: Kevon Brotin v Wille Green
Advantage: Rockets
I don’t know who will start here for the Rockets.  Martin may take back his starting spot, otherwise it will be Aaron Brooks.  Willie Green will start, which, in my opinion, makes there no way this position could be an advantage for the Hornets.

SF: Shane Battier v Trevor Ariza
Advantage: Hornets
Shane Battier isn’t the defender Ariza is, since his footspeed has declined dramatically despite his reputation, but he is a little more efficient offensively.  I almost made this even, but Ariza just does a bit more on the court than Battier, who has quietly become pretty inconsistent.

PF: Luis Scola v David West
Advantage: Even
These two have quietly become mirror images of one another.  Neither defend much, both are undersized and have developed an arsenal of fundamental moves to make up their size problems.  West is a little stronger and able to get into the paint, but Scola rebounds a bit better.  It’s also usually fun to watch them go at one another.

C: Jordan Hill v Emeka Okafor
Advantage: Hornets
Hill’s pretty poor, despite some hype coming out of Houston last year.  He’s got a bad rebound rate despite his energy and length, he turns the ball over a LOT, and he’s extremely inefficient(1.15 points per shot) for a big man standing next to the basket.  Okafor should outplay him fairly soundly.

Bench
Jared Jeffries, Courtney Lee, Chase Budinger, Patrick Patterson vs
Jason Smith, Thornton, Pondexter, Jack
Advantage: Rockets
Hayes and Brooks may join that bench, and if that’s the case, this is a runaway in favor of Houston, which has one of the best benches in the league.  Patrick Patterson has lived up to the hype he developed in the draft as a smart, efficient scorer, and Budinger and Lee do enough to keep the perimeter dangerous.  Oh and Jeffries energy and Hayes rhino-build can cause issues for teams with unathletic interiors(like the Hornets)  Again, I’m just hoping the Hornets second unit can apply defensive pressure and keep the team from digging a huge hole, and that Marcus is on target.

Enjoy the game!

Joe will be on the Daily Dime Chat throughout the game.

164 comments
Gec
Gec

a Win is a Win.. But i don't know if Monty deserved it.

m-W
m-W

He didn't. DX takes this one.

Ryan
Ryan

A Win is a Win....... Move Green down on the the Depth Chart Monty!

Go Blue
Go Blue

I'll take the win, hope CP3 ankle is alright.

thekeymaster
thekeymaster

geez are the hornets trying to kill their fans???

mbdtf
mbdtf

haha what an ugly win..i'll take it!

QueenBee
QueenBee

I'll take it too. I know they all can't be pretty but I'll take it. These Hornets are going to cause my heart to fail.

thekeymaster
thekeymaster

why did cp3 pass to ariza there? makes no sense!!!

Go Blue
Go Blue

-evil stare- darn you Trevor

Just A Fan
Just A Fan

If we lose...we deserve it for not playing Marcus.

thekeymaster
thekeymaster

guarantee the refs blow a whistle on mek to foul him out within 1 min of OT

Just A Fan
Just A Fan

In the game because of players ability has nothing to do with coaching.

thekeymaster
thekeymaster

DAMN DWEST!!!! that was the move of a straight up beast!!!

Gec
Gec

OH MY DW!!!

QueenBee
QueenBee

WOWWWW! I came out the bathroom just in time to see West throw down that jackhammer!! DAMMNNN WEST!!! I like it baby!

mbdtf
mbdtf

hahahahah David!

thekeymaster
thekeymaster

wow i love that you can't breathe on a rockets guard without getting whistled.

mbdtf
mbdtf

Lowry has owned Paul all night

Gec
Gec

Lowry has been guarded by Jack. And CP3 was limping all night long but hit the game dagger in the OT and played big D on Martin, he couldn't get the ball so he went out of "the zone"

QueenBee
QueenBee

Yeah I ain't never seen that before. The way CP played tonight though I think just about anyone would've owned him tonight.

QueenBee
QueenBee

You see? You see that weak ish CP3 just went in there with? He can finish that. That was bull. Charlotte is going to beat their arses tomorrow.

QueenBee
QueenBee

I'm convinced West and Paul are trying to throw this game. Ariza had to clean up West's mess just now. They're trying to throw it and the rest of the team don't know it. LMAO!

QueenBee
QueenBee

Derek Richardson is calling some real ticky tack fouls on the Hornets too.

QueenBee
QueenBee

CP and West never play this bad against the Rockets.

DownUnder
DownUnder

Sorry guys I leave again and see if they can get this one without me, they did the exact same thing for the Kings

QueenBee
QueenBee

Kevin Martin just lets the ball fly. He don't care who's guarding him. He figures he'll either make it or he won't. And how West let a bum like Hayes get that? Get out. I need to go finish my oyster po boy and beer. Get out Hornets.

mbdtf
mbdtf

come on Chris...

QueenBee
QueenBee

Here comes West. I'm kind of scared for him to come in right now.

QueenBee
QueenBee

That's only Martin's 3rd foul? Hell he ought to have 5 by now.

Just A Fan
Just A Fan

This coach is worse than B Scott. He has no idea what he is doing. I guess Thornton must have killed Monty's family pet or something. He is treated differently than every other player on this team.

Gec
Gec

-20 Green plusminus in 20 minutes.

DownUnder
DownUnder

arrg i carried on with my threat of leaving and i just checked on the scores, is it for real?

m-W
m-W

Nice run by the Hornets here...keep it going...

QueenBee
QueenBee

What the hell is Rick Adelman talking to the refs for?

Forever504
Forever504

why didnt jack start the 3rd quarter

thekeymaster
thekeymaster

hornets need to channel the utah jazz for a comeback in the 4th. hopefully cp3 realizes who he is and starts playing like it. oh yeah someone should back hand kevin martin's ugly ass.

QueenBee
QueenBee

"oh yeah someone should back hand kevin martin’s ugly ass." That's what I'm talking about.

mbdtf
mbdtf

Gonna need a miracle in the 4th

QueenBee
QueenBee

Hornets being outplayed and outhustled. They're slapping the ball away from the Hornets every chance they get. Hornets playing too stupid.

DownUnder
DownUnder

If we're not within 10 by the end of this quarter I think i'll leave

QueenBee
QueenBee

You'd better get up now then. LOL!

QueenBee
QueenBee

Aren't you glad you stayed? LOL! :)

DownUnder
DownUnder

I did lol now were within 2?

QueenBee
QueenBee

Get the hell away from me Hornets! You bunch of bums! Sit your old ass down Adelman!