Sports Betting confuses my brain

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Published: October 24, 2006

I've never bet on anything really, save for the odd dog at the track once every few years. Never basketball, though. The odds confuse me. At least with the dogs you can just pick the one wearing your favorite color or the one with the stupidest name or something — and from my experience you're just as likely to win doing it that way as somebody who supposedly knows all about them dogs — but that doesn't work so well in basketball.

Go cat goToday I had a look to see what kind of chance these odds-maker people are giving the Hornets this season, and I came away more confused than ever. Join me in bewilderment as I present some of the more interesting things I found…

(I should say that the site I'm getting this stuff from is sportsbook.com, which may or may not be the best betting site around. Again, I have no idea. Unfortunately their site is a bit crap in that they don't have permalinks for a lot of the odds, so I can't link them up directly. Tough titties. Anyways…)

  • The Hornets have odds of 60-1 to come out on top of the Western Conference. Only the Blazers have worse (or better?) odds, at 100-1.

  • The odds for the Hornets to win the title this season are 125-1, better than only Portland, Atlanta and Charlotte, and even with Washington, Milwaukee, G-State and Seattle.

    I don't really get how the Sonics and Warriors have much better odds for winning the conference (40-1 and 50-1 respectively), yet the same odds as the Hornets for winning the Championship. How does that make sense?

(Quick aside: Hypothetically, would it be possible for every team in the NBA to finish the season with a record of 41-41? If so, what the hell happens then? One of these days, I'm gonna sit down and figure that out.)

  •  The Hornets have apparently no chance of winning the Eastern Conference, whatever that's about.

  • Get this: According to the odds, Kirk Hinrich, Baron Davis, Jermaine O'Neal, Richard Jefferson, Vince Carter, Jason Kidd, Ben Gordon and Josh Howard all have a better chance at winning MVP this season than Chris Paul.

    Of course, guys like LeBron, Dwyane and Kobe are there too, but they make sense.

  • Hilton Armstrong is a 50-1 shot to win R.O.Y. The Blazers' Brandon Roy is favorite at 2-1. Marcus Vinicius isn't even listed, meaning that the people who make these odds hate Brazil.
  • Chris Paul is 15-1 to lead the league in assists, behind Nash (1-2), Baron (7-2), Kidd (7-2) and Brevin Knight (5-1). Can't really argue with that.

 So, in conclusion, this was all a bit pointless, wasn't it?

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